TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on the performance of Minnesota and Detroit. The outcomes depend solely on the final point totals for each team, regardless of other game factors like wins or losses.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by either Minnesota or Detroit in the Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. For any market specifying a team and a point threshold, if the named team scores strictly more than the stated threshold (e.g., 'over 3.5 points'), the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the team scores exactly the threshold or fewer, the market resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome. The governing league's official score will determine resolution. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate – perhaps due to injury news or overlooked factors – the odds on Kalshi will move accordingly. This can create opportunities to find value where the crowd's assessment differs from traditional betting outlets. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total point ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, offering a real-time assessment of the likely team totals. This allows traders to express their views and profit from correctly anticipating the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Minnesota and Detroit will be sourced from official game statistics. The contracts will then pay out based on whether the actual team totals fall within the ranges defined by the market. The resolution process ensures an objective and transparent determination of the winning contracts, based on the official results of the game. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to starting lineups for either the Minnesota or Detroit teams would likely cause substantial movement. Unexpected weather conditions, particularly if they affect the passing or running game, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Major shifts in public perception, based on analysis from sports commentators, could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.