TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of both teams in making field goals during an upcoming football game. Each market focuses on whether a specific team achieves a minimum number of successful field goals, allowing participants to speculate on offensive efficiency and scoring strategies.
All markets resolve based on the official number of field goals each team records in the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold: a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team reaches or exceeds the stated number of field goals (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+), while a 'No' outcome occurs if they fall short of that threshold. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their action, while this market’s prices are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting patterns, this market continuously updates based on every trade, potentially offering a more dynamic and accurate forecast of the game’s outcome regarding field goals.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the number of field goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The more a particular outcome is believed to be likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its forecasts accordingly.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of field goals successfully made by both the Minnesota and Detroit teams during the game will determine the result. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the actual number of field goals scored in the game.
Several factors could influence the price action in this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Minnesota or Detroit teams would likely have a significant impact, as this could affect their offensive capabilities and field goal success rate. Changes in weather conditions, particularly wind or rain, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could shift expectations and influence trading activity in the Minnesota vs Detroit field goal market.