TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Detroit will win their November 1st, 2026 game against Minnesota by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 60.0% probability to Detroit achieving this margin of victory. The market will resolve based on the final score of the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for November 1, 2026, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the outcome of the game itself on November 1st, 2026, to see if Detroit covers the spread and resolves this market to ‘Yes’.
The markets resolve based on the point differential from the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Detroit wins by exceeding any of the specified point margins—from 1.5 to 20.5 points—the corresponding 'Detroit wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Minnesota wins by more than any of the listed margins (1.5 to 14.5 points), the respective 'Minnesota wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. All markets share the same underlying game and date, with resolution contingent solely on the final score difference, regardless of which specific threshold is met. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to news and developments than sportsbook lines, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of true probabilities as the game approaches. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the aggregated belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded, and inaccurate ones are penalized.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Minnesota versus Detroit game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the NFL, and will determine which contracts pay out to winning traders. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders should monitor official NFL results to understand the final settlement of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Minnesota or Detroit teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies, coaching decisions, or even player morale could impact trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media, can also play a role, though to a lesser extent than concrete developments directly affecting the game’s outcome.