TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:24 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves tracking the performance of a specific player during an upcoming professional football game between two teams. The focus is on measuring a particular statistical achievement by the player that will determine the outcome of the event. The game is scheduled to take place on a specified date.
If Each Yes contract pays $0.0025 per rushing yard recorded by Jahmyr Gibbs during the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that as more people buy contracts for a particular rushing yard range, the price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome goes up. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and decreases the implied probability. The market dynamically adjusts until the event takes place.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the players in the Minnesota vs Detroit game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard statistics, as reported by the NFL, will determine which contracts settle positively. Traders who correctly predicted the rushing yard ranges will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict inclement conditions, could also influence the market, as weather impacts running game effectiveness. Late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching strategies could also move the market. Finally, significant betting activity itself – a large influx of volume on a specific outcome – can also drive price changes in this market.