TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on whether Jahmyr Gibbs will achieve various rushing yard thresholds in a specific football game between Minnesota and Detroit. Each market has a different yardage requirement that must be met for the outcome to be considered successful.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if Jahmyr Gibbs participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half—including overtime—the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless he meets the specified rushing yard threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If Gibbs participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates is subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event uses full game rushing yards including overtime. The markets resolve to Yes only if Gibbs records the exact threshold or more rushing yards in the game as originally scheduled.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis, news, and expectations, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the volume available at various price points, providing insight into potential support and resistance levels.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage statistics for the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reported rushing yards for the players involved will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to see the official results reflected in their account balances shortly after the event concludes and the data is verified. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key running backs or offensive linemen would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or snow, could impact the running game. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or player matchups could also shift market sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking information about player availability or team tactics could lead to substantial price movements as traders react to the latest developments.