TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many rushing yards Jahmyr Gibbs achieves in a specific football game between Minnesota and Detroit. Each market has a different threshold for the number of yards needed for resolution, allowing participants to speculate on various performance levels.
All markets resolve based on whether Jahmyr Gibbs achieves a specified threshold of rushing yards during the Minnesota vs Detroit professional football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Gibbs is active but does not take any snaps, markets settle at the fair market price before kickoff. Once Gibbs takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by penalty — markets resolve strictly based on the total rushing yards he records during the game. All markets are independent, each with its own numerical threshold for resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event approaches, the prices in this market tend to converge with sportsbook odds, representing a collective assessment of the likely outcome. However, discrepancies can still exist due to differing opinions and risk appetites.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific yardage range, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, shown on the dashboard, reveals the volume of contracts available at various price points, providing insight into the potential for price fluctuations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final rushing yards and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals from the Minnesota versus Detroit game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL, representing the total combined rushing yards achieved by both teams during the game. The platform will then determine which contracts align with the verified outcome and distribute payouts accordingly to contract holders.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key players – such as injuries to starting running backs or changes in offensive line personnel – would likely cause price fluctuations. Weather conditions, particularly if inclement, could also influence the game plan and affect rushing yard totals. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in game strategy could also move the market. Finally, late-breaking news or analysis from football experts could sway trader sentiment and lead to price adjustments in this market before Nov 2, 2026.