TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the number of receptions achieved by specific players in an upcoming football game between Minnesota and Detroit. The payout structure rewards contracts based on how many catches a player makes, with increasing returns for higher reception totals.
Contracts in this market resolve based on the official number of receptions recorded by designated players during the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each Yes contract pays a predetermined scalar amount that scales non-linearly with the number of receptions, calculated using the formula: Payout Formula = floor(10000 x (min(s, 14) / 14)^3) / 10000, where 's' represents the official receptions. The payout schedule increases progressively, offering higher returns for more receptions up to a maximum payout of $1.00 for 14 or more receptions. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the corresponding Yes payout, ensuring that the total payout for both Yes and No contracts combined equals $1.00. The market resolves to Yes if the game occurs as scheduled and the specified receptions threshold is met according to the payout schedule. All payouts are capped at $1.00 per Yes contract.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, these prices will shift, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential results of the Vikings-Lions game. The market depth shows the volume available at different price points, indicating the strength of conviction behind various predictions. This allows traders to assess the potential for price movement and make informed trading decisions.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official statistics for receptions during the Minnesota Vikings versus Detroit Lions game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The platform will verify the data against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct reception totals will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for updates as the game progresses.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Vikings or the Lions – particularly wide receivers or quarterbacks – would likely cause price shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the expected passing volume and therefore reception totals. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, even late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment and contract prices.