TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by specific players in an upcoming football game between Minnesota and Detroit. The outcome depends on whether designated players meet or exceed certain reception thresholds during the match.
All markets are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after halftime (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price unless the reception threshold is met. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Penalties that nullify a play do not count toward receptions, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. All markets consider full-game receptions, including overtime, and the protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with 'at least' payout criteria. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates individual predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total receptions in the Vikings-Lions game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more trades occur, the prices adjust, providing a real-time indication of how the market perceives the likelihood of various reception totals. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for the Vikings and Lions will be sourced from official NFL game statistics. The market will settle based on the combined total of receptions achieved by players on both teams during the game. It's important to note that the official NFL statistics are the determining factor for the resolution of this market, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be significant catalysts, as they directly impact the potential for receptions. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect passing game strategies and, therefore, reception totals. Game-day news, like a change in offensive play-calling or a shift in defensive coverage schemes, could also lead to price movements as traders react to the latest information.