TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
Derrick Henry's rushing yards in the Baltimore vs Buffalo game influence payouts here. Yes contracts pay more for higher yardage, up to a $1.00 cap.
Contracts pay based on rushing yards recorded by specified players in designated NFL games. Yes contracts earn $0.0025 per yard up to $1.00 maximum, while No contracts receive $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are scalar and capped at 400 yards, with examples provided for different yard thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and public perception, while this market allows individuals to trade on their own informed opinions. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prices in this market will adjust, potentially leading to discrepancies with sportsbook odds. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities as the event approaches, especially when significant information emerges.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the Minnesota Vikings versus the Detroit Lions game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official data released by the NFL, ensuring an objective and transparent process. The final prices on Kalshi will reflect the actual results of the game, determining which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to see the final settlement values shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Vikings or the Lions would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in the weather forecast, particularly if it suggests heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the market, as these conditions often affect passing games. Unexpected changes in team strategy or quarterback performance during the game itself could also lead to substantial shifts in prices. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on opportunities in this market.