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Minnesota vs Detroit: Receiving Yards Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Minnesota vs Detroit?

Volume:
$7,623

Jameson Williams

 - Kalshi

Jameson Williams - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 4:44 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jameson Williams

View
4%
3%
Yes 4.3¢No 95.7¢
—
N/A
$787
N/A
N/A
$547
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Amon-Ra St. Brown

View
1%
12%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.2¢
—
N/A
$1,703
N/A
N/A
$1,445
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Justin Jefferson

View
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢
—
N/A
$2,486
N/A
N/A
$2,268
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Sam LaPorta

View
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢
—
N/A
$556
N/A
N/A
$556
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Jahmyr Gibbs

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,997
N/A
N/A
$1,997
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Aaron Jones Sr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
$95
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Minnesota and Detroit. Payouts for 'Yes' contracts increase progressively with the number of receiving yards each player accumulates, following a cubic scaling formula. 'No' contracts pay the difference between a $1.00 stake and the 'Yes' payout, creating a zero-sum dynamic where total payouts sum to the total stakes collected.

Kalshi

Contracts resolve based on official receiving yards accumulated by designated players in the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each 'Yes' contract pays according to a cubic scaling formula that maps receiving yards into payout values between $0.00 and $1.00, with increments every 10 yards. The formula calculates payouts as floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y equals min(200, max(0, 10 x floor(s / 10))) and s represents official receiving yards. 'No' contracts pay $1.00 minus the 'Yes' payout, ensuring total payouts equal total stakes. Negative yardage results pay $0.00 for 'Yes' contracts. All markets resolve to 'Yes' upon final yardage determination.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective beliefs of many traders. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated a tendency to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially as more information becomes available and trading volume increases. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, leading to discrepancies with this market.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and liquidity, indicated by the trading volume, also influence price discovery. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the outcome.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yard totals for the relevant players in the Minnesota Vikings versus Detroit Lions game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will serve as the basis for determining the final receiving yardage. The resolution will reflect the total receiving yards achieved by all eligible players during the game, as recorded by the official NFL statistics, and will determine the payout for contracts held in this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Nov 2, 2026. Injury reports for key wide receivers and tight ends on both the Vikings and Lions would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to favor passing or running, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding quarterback performance or changes in offensive strategies could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, driven by media coverage or expert analysis, could impact trading activity and price movements.