TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance thresholds in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve predetermined receiving yard milestones. The outcomes reflect individual player production rather than overall game results.
All markets refer to designated players in the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified player records the stated minimum receiving yards during the game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap — even if that snap is nullified by a penalty — the market settles based solely on the actual receiving yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each participant's performance threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, whereas this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many individual traders. However, sportsbook odds can still offer a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies may present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of the total receiving yards falling within that range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast of the event's outcome. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the price is not set in advance but evolves based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals for the Minnesota Vikings and Detroit Lions game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual total receiving yards achieved during the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct yardage range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect ranges will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be significant catalysts, as they directly impact expected receiving yardage. Weather conditions, particularly if they are adverse, could also shift expectations towards a more conservative passing game. Unexpected news regarding quarterback performance or changes in coaching strategy could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking information about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in trading activity.