TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 21 points in an upcoming football game. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest as points are scored, with outcomes determined by the team's performance during the game. The resolution depends purely on the scoring progression, not the final score.
The event determines whether Minnesota, Detroit, or neither team is the first to score 21 points in the Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. If either Minnesota or Detroit reaches 21 points before the other, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If neither team achieves this milestone during the game—including any overtime—the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, trading continues and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not commence within that window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring adherence to transparent and equitable principles throughout potential scheduling disruptions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals’ willingness to buy or sell contracts based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s life, as prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information more quickly and efficiently than traditional betting venues. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into public perception versus informed trader sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders are constantly posting bids (prices they’re willing to buy at) and asks (prices they’re willing to sell at). The market price fluctuates based on the supply and demand for contracts representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the event gets, the more the price will reflect the perceived probability of each team reaching 21 points first. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and buying low and selling high, or vice versa. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, Minnesota or Detroit, reaches 21 points first during the game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the market will settle to 100 for the team that achieves this milestone first. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand how this market will settle. The outcome will be determined by the official scoring of the game.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Minnesota or Detroit would likely cause price movement. Changes in team performance leading up to the game, such as strong offensive showings or defensive struggles, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on game day might also play a role, potentially affecting scoring. Finally, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price changes as traders react to new information or perceived advantages.