TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:21 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a football game between two teams where a player's longest rushing play will be closely watched. If this player achieves a significant rushing distance during the match, it will fulfill the specified condition. The outcome depends entirely on the player's performance in that particular game.
If Jahmyr Gibbs records a longest rush of over 17.5 yards in the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether a particular player will have the longest rush. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, reflecting a higher probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract represents the implied probability of that outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the longest rush. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winner. The official NFL game statistics will be used to verify the outcome. Any ties will be resolved according to the platform’s standard tie-breaking procedures. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the settlement of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. A key player being ruled out with an injury would likely increase the probability of other players having the longest rush. Unexpected reports about a team’s offensive game plan or a change in the predicted weather conditions could also move the market. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about team news will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential shifts in this market.