TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific Minnesota or Detroit players achieve a long reception during their November 1, 2026 game. Each market focuses on a different player and their performance benchmark. The outcome depends on game-day play and adherence to defined participation rules.
All markets resolve based on whether the named player records a longest reception exceeding the specified yardage threshold in the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves according to the actual longest reception recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all player-specific markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of each participant's performance against their individual thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi tend to converge with sportsbook lines, as more information becomes available and traders refine their predictions. Examining both can be a valuable strategy for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether a specific player will have the longest reception. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential longest reception. This creates a fluid market where opinions are constantly updated and reflected in the contract values.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game. This ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in the starting lineup would likely cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, expert analysis and public opinion, as reflected in sports news and social media, can also influence trading activity. A strong performance by a particular player in previous games could also increase their chances in this market, leading to increased demand for their contracts.