TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific passing yard thresholds for players in an upcoming football game between Minnesota and Detroit. It examines whether designated quarterbacks achieve various yardage milestones during the contest, offering multiple benchmarks for performance evaluation.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified quarterback achieves the exact passing yard threshold stated in the primary rule during the game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the outcome is determined solely by the total passing yards they record during the game. All markets operate independently, with each threshold (e.g., 175+, 200+, etc.) requiring distinct achievement for resolution. The markets cover two players, with varying yardage requirements for each, and all settlements hinge strictly on official game statistics.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who consider various factors, while this market’s pricing is driven by the collective predictions of traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can arise from varying levels of expertise, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a decentralized prediction market compared to a centralized sportsbook. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official passing yardage statistics from the game between Minnesota and Detroit are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official data released by the NFL, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the winning contract. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the official statistics are released and verified. The market will then be considered settled.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, could also shift expectations. Unexpected developments in team strategies or play-calling tendencies could also move the market. Finally, large-volume trades by informed traders or institutions could create momentum and influence the pricing of contracts in this market before Nov 1, 2026.