TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many times they successfully connect with their receivers. The outcome depends on whether each player meets or exceeds predetermined completion thresholds. These benchmarks help assess the offensive efficiency and effectiveness of each quarterback's performance in the contest.
All markets resolve based on whether the named quarterback achieves a specified number of passing completions during the Minnesota vs Detroit Professional Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual number of completions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of each quarterback's performance against their respective completion thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome and potentially identify mispriced opportunities, though it’s important to remember they represent different types of forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing different completion totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various scenarios. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and interest in each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official passing completion count for the Minnesota Vikings versus the Detroit Lions game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts after the resolution process is complete. It’s important to monitor official sources for the most accurate information.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to affect the passing game, could also shift expectations. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team matchups could cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential market movements.