TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of passing attempts made by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Minnesota and Detroit. The focus is on whether particular players exceed defined thresholds for pass attempts during the contest. Outcomes depend purely on in-game performance metrics.
All markets in this event resolve based on whether designated quarterbacks record a specified minimum number of passing attempts in the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For each market, if the named quarterback achieves the stated threshold of passing attempts, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if a quarterback is listed as active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at its fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap — even if that snap is later nullified by a penalty — the market outcome is determined solely by the actual number of passing attempts recorded during the game. These provisions ensure that markets reflect actual game performance while accounting for pre-game uncertainties regarding player participation.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their view. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that the market believes there’s an edge to be had, or that public sentiment differs from the sportsbook’s assessment. It’s a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total passing attempts in the Vikings vs Lions game. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, analysis, and their own insights, which drives price fluctuations and reflects the collective forecast. The more contracts purchased for a specific outcome, the higher its price becomes.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official passing attempts total for the Minnesota Vikings versus the Detroit Lions game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning contract. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official statistics are released.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact passing game strategies and shift market sentiment. Late-breaking news about coaching decisions or offensive adjustments could also influence trader behavior, as could any significant shifts in public perception regarding the teams' offensive capabilities.