TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event ties the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game to financial outcomes. Participants bet on how many fantasy points each player will score, with payouts scaling directly with the points achieved. The structure ensures a clear, point-by-point relationship between athletic performance and financial return.
Each market determines payouts based on the PPR fantasy points scored by a designated player during the specified Minnesota vs Detroit game. Yes contracts pay $0.01 per fantasy point, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. No contracts pay the remainder of $1.00 minus the Yes payout. If a player’s points result in a Yes payout of $0.00 (e.g., negative points or no assigned points), No contracts pay the full $1.00. Payouts are proportional to contract positions, and all point totals are sourced from Sleeper’s standard weekly PPR calculations. The markets operate independently for each player, with identical payout structures applied uniformly across all participants.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of player performance. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news breaks or as more information becomes available. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into where the market believes the value lies compared to traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the current market consensus on the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic representation of expectations for the Minnesota vs Detroit game. This allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of potential player performance.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point totals for each player in the Minnesota vs Detroit game will be used to determine the winner of each ladder. The platform will verify the results against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to collect on winning contracts based on the final standings.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves around Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries for either the Minnesota or Detroit teams would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in player matchups, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact expectations. Furthermore, updates on player practice participation or reports about their overall health and form could all contribute to movement in this market as traders react to the latest information.