TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:10 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the final quarter performance of a football game between Minnesota and Detroit, tracking how decisively either team wins during that specific period. Outcomes depend solely on the point differential achieved in the last quarter of regulation time.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential in the 4th quarter of the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, with overtime points excluded from consideration. Each market has a specific threshold: Detroit must win by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 1.5 points, or Minnesota must win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points during that quarter for resolution. Only points scored in the 4th quarter count toward these thresholds, and all markets operate independently with their respective conditions.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, but may adjust based on betting action. This market, however, is driven by individuals putting their capital at risk, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 4th quarter spread between Minnesota and Detroit is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual spread. The market's resolution is independent of any pre-game analysis or predictions, relying solely on the verified game results.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Minnesota or Detroit teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public information released about team morale or preparation could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.