TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both Minnesota and Detroit during the third quarter of their football game. Participants assess how offensive the teams might be in that specific quarter, considering factors like starting positions, player performance, and game strategies.
These markets resolve based on the combined points scored by Minnesota and Detroit in the third quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for the total points that must be exceeded for the 'Yes' outcome to occur, ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these markets, regardless of the final game score or any points scored in other quarters. The markets are independent of the official league rules and are solely based on the specified point thresholds for resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals predicting the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of a particular event. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, particularly as game day approaches and more data becomes available.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 3rd quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by the league. The market will determine whether the total points scored in the 3rd quarter exceeded or fell short of the threshold established when the market was created. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the outcome will receive a payout of 100, while those on the incorrect side will lose their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Minnesota or Detroit teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also move the market. Finally, as the game gets closer, any shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis could influence trading activity and the price of contracts in this market.