TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the second half of an upcoming professional football game between Minnesota and Detroit. The outcome depends solely on second-half performance, ignoring the first half's results. If both teams finish the second half with equal scores, the market resolves as a tie.
If Detroit wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minnesota wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. If there’s a significant difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it could signal an opportunity for arbitrage or indicate that the crowd holds a different view than professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market operates on a 0 to 100 cents scale, where 100 cents represents a 100% probability of an event occurring, and lower values indicate lower probabilities. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that wins the second half of the Minnesota vs Detroit game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not. The platform will verify the final score to determine the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Minnesota or Detroit teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team strategy, weather conditions, or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected line movements in sportsbooks could also trigger activity in this market as traders attempt to capitalize on perceived discrepancies. Overall game performance during the first half could also influence trading as traders adjust their expectations for the second half.