TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the professional football game between Minnesota and Detroit. Currently, Kalshi gives Detroit a 73.0% probability of winning, while Minnesota is at 26.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself on November 1, 2026, as the final score will determine the resolution of this market.
If Detroit wins the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minnesota wins the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, but may adjust less quickly to new information. This market, driven by traders actively buying and selling contracts, can incorporate news, injuries, and other factors more rapidly. It's common to see discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate probabilities, particularly as the event draws closer and more information becomes available. Examining these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time estimate of expectations. The market depth, indicated by the number of outstanding buy and sell orders at various price levels, shows the strength of conviction behind different predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Minnesota vs Detroit game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the contract's value at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any major news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected team performance in preceding games could shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on game day can also play a role, particularly if they favor one team's playing style. Public perception, reflected in media coverage and expert analysis, can also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements or developments related to either team could lead to substantial price movements in this market.