TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will lead after the first quarter of a professional football game between Minnesota and Detroit. It specifically tracks scoring performance within the initial 15 minutes of play, ignoring the rest of the match. The outcome depends solely on which team has the higher point total in that quarter, or if the quarter ends in a tie.
If Detroit wins the 1st Quarter of the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minnesota wins the 1st Quarter of the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Quarter of the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with but sometimes diverging from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of many individuals. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that prediction market traders have access to or place more weight on information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity determine how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are constantly evaluating and updating their predictions, leading to dynamic price movements.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the first quarter of the Minnesota vs Detroit game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to view the final result on Kalshi after the game concludes and the outcome is officially verified.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected pre-game reports or analysis from sports analysts could also lead to price movements. Significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths or chances of winning the first quarter could lead to changes in the market.