TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds for the total points scored by both Minnesota and Detroit in the first quarter of their upcoming football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of higher or lower scoring bursts within the opening quarter.
These markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both Minnesota and Detroit during the first quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points); if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored in the first quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The markets are not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. Examining these differences can be insightful, as both sources represent informed, but distinct, assessments of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the Vikings-Lions 1st quarter total. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast. This allows for a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism, reflecting the evolving expectations of those trading in the market.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter between the Minnesota Vikings and the Detroit Lions will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will then receive payouts based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Vikings or the Lions would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or prominent media coverage, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments in this market.