TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which team will lead at halftime in an upcoming professional football game between Minnesota and Detroit. It focuses solely on the scoring performance during the first half of the match, ignoring the final result. If both teams are tied at halftime, a separate outcome is designated.
If Detroit wins the 1st Half of the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minnesota wins the 1st Half of the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Half of the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market’s price is determined by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If a large number of traders believe one team is more likely to win the first half than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will rise. This can create opportunities for informed traders to find value discrepancies between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts representing a bet on the first half winner. The price reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own predictions, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. The current price represents the cost to buy a share predicting a win for either the Minnesota or Detroit team.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the first half of the Minnesota vs Detroit game will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or account for any losses.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Minnesota or Detroit team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance leading up to the game, such as unexpected wins or losses, could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s playing style, could impact the market. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role in driving price fluctuations.