TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points a team needs to score for the market to settle positively.
The markets resolve based on whether Detroit or Minnesota scores over specified point thresholds in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different numerical threshold for points scored by either team. If the specified team scores more than the threshold listed for that market during the first half, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each has its own point threshold requirement for resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals freely expressing their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who believe the market has mispriced a particular outcome. Examining the contrast between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds can be a valuable exercise for anyone interested in this event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven entirely by supply and demand within Kalshi; there are no external factors influencing the pricing mechanism. This dynamic pricing allows for a fluid and responsive market that can quickly incorporate new data.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual total points scored by each team in the first half of the game. The official game statistics will serve as the basis for determining the winning contracts. It’s important to note that the outcome is determined by objective game data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Minnesota or Detroit teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also affect trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can play a role in driving price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before Nov 2, 2026.