TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:57 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the outcome of the first half of a professional football game between Minnesota and Detroit. Each market specifies a different point spread threshold that determines whether the bet resolves as 'Yes' or 'No' based on the point differential at halftime.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the first half of the designated Minnesota vs Detroit professional football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. For markets where Detroit is the favorite, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if Detroit wins the first half by more than the specified spread (ranging from 2.5 to 13.5 points). Conversely, for markets where Minnesota is the favorite, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if Minnesota wins the first half by more than the specified spread (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points). Only points scored during the first half are considered for resolution. All markets operate independently, meaning each spread threshold is evaluated separately, and the outcome of one does not affect the others. The markets are not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the game's outcome. If a significant number of people believe the Vikings will perform better than expected, the price will move in that direction, potentially diverging from initial sportsbook lines. It's common to see prediction markets offer a more accurate forecast, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first half of the game. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective belief about the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven by supply and demand; if more people want to buy contracts representing a specific spread, the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likely first half spread.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the first half of the Minnesota Vikings versus Detroit Lions game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Vikings or the Lions would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also play a role, although the market tends to be more responsive to concrete information.