TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Minnesota vs Calgary: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Minnesota vs Calgary?

Volume:
$155,237

Minnesota wins by over 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 11:37 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$107,740
N/A
N/A
$93,427
Settled
No
kalshi

Calgary wins by over 1.5 goals

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,633
N/A
N/A
$19,929
Settled
No
kalshi

Calgary wins by over 2.5 goals

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,101
N/A
N/A
$8,672
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,649
N/A
N/A
$2,382
Settled
No
kalshi

Calgary wins by over 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,162
N/A
N/A
$1,162
Settled
No
kalshi

Calgary wins by over 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$993
N/A
N/A
$879
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$551
N/A
N/A
$550
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota wins by over 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$408
N/A
N/A
$408
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming NHL game between Minnesota and Calgary. Each market corresponds to a specific winning team and goal differential threshold, determining whether the outcome meets or exceeds that margin. The collective markets provide a detailed view of potential scorelines and decisive nature of the game.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the goal differential by which either Minnesota or Calgary wins the game scheduled for October 22, 2026, with specific thresholds for each team. If Calgary wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes; if they win by more than 1.5 goals, the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Minnesota wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if they win by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, they remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment under unforeseen circumstances.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Minnesota vs Calgary spread tracks the current implied probability of various outcomes, the trading volume, and a price history chart. You can see how the market is moving in real-time, with the 24-hour volume currently at $148,225. The total volume traded on this market is $155,237. This allows traders to analyze market sentiment and identify potential opportunities based on how others are positioning themselves before the event takes place. The dashboard provides a clear visual representation of the market's dynamics.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it might indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sets, and can diverge based on public perception.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Minnesota vs Calgary spread. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain result, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to accurately represent the probability of each outcome as perceived by the market participants.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by official results released following the conclusion of the Minnesota vs Calgary game. The market will settle to 100 if the spread is as predicted, and proportionally less if the actual spread deviates from the market's prediction. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or cover their losses based on the final outcome.

Several factors could influence the Minnesota vs Calgary spread market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or strategic shifts could lead to rapid adjustments in the market price. Public perception, fueled by media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role in shaping the market's direction as the event approaches.