TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:15 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-10-11 17:00 UTC: If the Minnesota Vikings win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Vikings". If the New Orleans Saints win, the market will resolve to "New Orleans Saints". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-10-11 17:00 UTC: If the Minnesota Vikings win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Vikings". If the New Orleans Saints win, the market will resolve to "New Orleans Saints". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, while sportsbooks often incorporate biases or seek to profit from perceived public miscalculations. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available in this market. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, but as more information becomes available and more people trade, this market often converges towards a more informed probability assessment.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of the traders about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe the Vikings will win, the price of contracts predicting a Vikings victory will increase. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Vikings-Saints game, as officially recorded by sports authorities. Any adjustments or official rulings regarding the game's outcome will be considered in determining the final result of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the resolved outcome.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Vikings or the Saints would be a major catalyst. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or team dynamics could also shift the odds. Major news events affecting player morale or team chemistry, or even weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions during the game, could all influence trading activity. Any significant information release related to the teams’ preparation or performance is likely to move this market.