TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:30 PM EST
Predict
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 17 at 4:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 17 at 4:30 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by real money at risk, often incorporates more diverse information and can react more quickly to new developments, such as injuries or changes in team form. It's common to see discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate probabilities than sportsbook lines.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the prices adjust, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, with higher demand driving prices up and vice-versa.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Minnesota United FC versus St. Louis City SC match, as reported by official sources. The final score and any relevant match details will be used to determine the winning outcome within this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Minnesota United or St. Louis City SC would likely cause price shifts. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact the market. Weather conditions on match day, and even pre-game tactical announcements from the coaches, are potential catalysts. Unexpected news surrounding team management or ownership could also move the market.