TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:30 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Minnesota United FC and St. Louis City SC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota United FC" if Minnesota United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "St. Louis City SC" if St. Louis City SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Minnesota United FC and St. Louis City SC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota United FC" if Minnesota United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "St. Louis City SC" if St. Louis City SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more people trade, the odds on Predict tend to become more accurate, potentially outperforming traditional sportsbook odds. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, creating temporary discrepancies. It’s common to see this market converge with sportsbook lines as the event approaches, but differences can still emerge.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current price indicates what the average trader believes is the likelihood of a particular team scoring first in the Minnesota vs. St. Louis soccer match, and these prices fluctuate based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Minnesota vs. St. Louis soccer match. Any goals scored during regular play, or any added time, will be considered. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their portfolio on Predict shortly after the match concludes.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Minnesota or St. Louis teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the perceived likelihood of either team scoring first. Additionally, any significant tactical announcements from the coaches, or shifts in public perception based on pre-match analysis, could drive trading volume and cause the market to move. Unexpected team formations or starting lineups could also be catalysts.