TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:08h:15m
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This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Minnesota United FC and San Jose Earthquakes. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs.
In the upcoming match between Minnesota United FC and San Jose Earthquakes, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota United FC" if Minnesota United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "San Jose Earthquakes" if San Jose Earthquakes are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Minnesota United FC and San Jose Earthquakes, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota United FC" if Minnesota United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "San Jose Earthquakes" if San Jose Earthquakes are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics, this market can quickly adjust to incorporate real-time information and nuanced factors not easily captured by traditional models. Comparing the two can provide a more well-rounded view of the likely outcome.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk tolerance, which influence price discovery. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, differing liquidity levels on each platform can also contribute to price discrepancies; a larger volume on one platform may lead to more stable and accurate pricing. Currently, Polymarket currently favors neither team to score first at 48%, while Predict leans toward San Jose Earthquakes to score first. These differences highlight the independent nature of price formation on each platform, reflecting varying perspectives on the Minnesota United vs. San Jose match.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by which team scores the first goal in the Minnesota United vs. San Jose match. If neither team scores, that outcome will be reflected in the resolution. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result of the match.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Minnesota United or San Jose Earthquakes would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the perceived likelihood of each team scoring first. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical shifts revealed before the match could also shift the probabilities. Furthermore, any significant public endorsements or betting activity on either team could influence the market's direction as traders react to new information.