TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 3:47 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-07 23:00 UTC: If the Minnesota Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Timberwolves". If the Indiana Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Indiana Pacers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-07 23:00 UTC: If the Minnesota Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Timberwolves". If the Indiana Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Indiana Pacers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks, which may incorporate a profit margin or be influenced by public betting biases. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to attract action, while this market evolves based on informed traders expressing their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information and analytical rigor applied by participants in each venue. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently in response to new information than traditional sportsbooks.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the odds are not set by a bookmaker but emerge from the collective actions of individuals trading on their predictions. Higher demand for a particular outcome will drive up its price, indicating a greater perceived likelihood of that outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Timberwolves-Pacers game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events based on the accuracy of the market's predictions.
Several factors could significantly shift the odds in this market. Injuries to key players on either the Timberwolves or the Pacers would be a major catalyst. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to changes in volume and pricing. Any late-breaking news affecting the perceived competitive balance of the Timberwolves-Pacers game has the potential to move this market.