TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market reflects the result of a men's college hockey game between Minnesota State and Merrimack, planned for October 16, 2026. The resolution is determined by the winning team, with a tied result dividing the outcome equally.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Minnesota State vs Merrimack men's college hockey game scheduled for October 16, 2026. If Minnesota State wins, the market for Minnesota State resolves to Yes; if Merrimack wins, the market for Merrimack resolves to Yes. In the event of a tie, all markets resolve to 50/50. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original schedule, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing the difference between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds can reveal where the market anticipates value or disagreement with conventional wisdom regarding the college hockey matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by news, team performance, and overall market sentiment, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism for this college hockey matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Minnesota State vs Merrimack game. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual game result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the market's pricing at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Key player injuries on either Minnesota State or Merrimack would likely cause price adjustments. Unexpected coaching changes or significant shifts in team performance during upcoming games could also move the market. Major news regarding team morale or off-ice issues could also play a role. Any information that alters perceptions of each team's chances of winning the college hockey matchup will likely be reflected in trading activity and price fluctuations.