TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Reg Time: Minera
- Kalshi
Reg Time: Minera - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 01d:15h:34m
$
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Minera and Cartagena, focusing solely on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. It excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts, emphasizing the immediate conclusion of regular play. The resolution depends entirely on which team secures a victory or if the match ends evenly within this defined timeframe.
The event resolves based on the result of the Minera vs Cartagena professional Copa del Rey soccer match originally scheduled for November 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Minera wins within regulation time, the “Reg Time: Minera” market resolves to Yes. If Cartagena wins within regulation time, the “Reg Time: Cartagena” market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the “Reg Time: Tie” market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets exclusively consider the outcome after regular time and do not account for results determined in extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who consider various factors, while this market's odds are determined by the collective predictions of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember they represent different approaches to forecasting the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the current probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are essentially betting on their assessment of the Minera vs Cartagena match, and their collective actions drive the price fluctuations you observe on the dashboard. The more traders believe a particular outcome will happen, the higher the price of its corresponding contract.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Minera vs Cartagena match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on which team wins the regulation time moneyline – meaning excluding any potential overtime or penalty shootouts. The final score and official match results will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will then verify the result against these sources to finalize settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact the perceived chances of either team winning. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could also move the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into how the market is evolving.