TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Minera and Cartagena in the Copa del Rey, focusing solely on the result after regulation time. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win within the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts. The resolution depends entirely on the match's final score at the end of regulation play.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the Minera vs Cartagena professional Copa del Rey soccer match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Minera win, Cartagena win, or a tie. If Minera scores more goals than Cartagena by the end of regulation time, the 'Reg Time: Minera' market resolves to Yes. If Cartagena scores more goals than Minera by the end of regulation time, the 'Reg Time: Cartagena' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of goals by the end of regulation time, the 'Reg Time: Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's procedures. The markets exclusively consider regulation time results and do not account for extra time, penalty shootouts, or any post-regulation events.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the most likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors one result. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into where the market finds value compared to conventional betting options.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Currently, the most actively traded outcome is predicting a win for one of the teams, and the price indicates the market’s perceived chance of that happening.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Minera vs Cartagena match, specifically the regulation time moneyline winner. The platform will verify the result against official sources to determine which contract pays out. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Match previews from reputable sports analysts, updates on team form, and even weather conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information entering the market, causing prices to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in market sentiment.