TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Minera advances
- Kalshi
Minera advances - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 01d:18h:14m
$
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Minera and Cartagena in the 1st Round of the Copa del Rey. The result determines which team progresses further in the tournament. It reflects the competitive performance of both teams in this specific encounter.
If Minera advance past Cartagena in the Minera vs Cartagena soccer tie in the 1St Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cartagena advance past Minera in the Minera vs Cartagena soccer tie in the 1St Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows participants to freely trade based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take a position in this market, driving the odds closer to their perceived true probability. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, offering potential arbitrage opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth indicates how much volume is available at different price points, providing insight into the strength of conviction behind those prices. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Minera vs Cartagena match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or tactical changes could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in market perception. Monitoring these signals and events can help you understand potential shifts in the odds for the Minera vs Cartagena match.