TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Minera and Cartagena in the 1st Round of the Copa del Rey. It focuses on which team progresses to the next stage following their head-to-head contest. The result reflects the competitive performance of both teams in this specific tournament fixture.
The event determines which team advances from the Minera vs Cartagena tie in the 1st Round of the Copa del Rey. One market resolves to Yes if Minera progresses past Cartagena, while the other resolves to Yes if Cartagena progresses past Minera. References to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup are used descriptively and do not imply endorsement or affiliation with FIFA or Kalshi. The resolution hinges solely on the official match result declaring the advancing team in the tournament.
Often, prediction market odds can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a broader range of information and perspectives than a sportsbook’s internal models. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance betting action, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. Discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders profit from the difference in odds between the two venues.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Minera vs Cartagena match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. The market will close prior to the event’s completion, preventing further trading once the result is known or highly predictable.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders or institutions could signal a change in expectations and drive the market in a particular direction. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market.