TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 12:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the volleyball match between Minas and Sesi Bauru in the Superliga, originally scheduled for October 28 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Minas" if Minas wins the match. It will resolve to "Sesi Bauru" if Sesi Bauru wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Brazilian Volleyball Confederation results.
This market refers to the volleyball match between Minas and Sesi Bauru in the Superliga, originally scheduled for October 28 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Minas" if Minas wins the match. It will resolve to "Sesi Bauru" if Sesi Bauru wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Brazilian Volleyball Confederation results.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective forecast of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information that sportsbooks haven’t fully priced in, or vice versa. These differences can stem from varying levels of expertise and the incentives of participants in each venue. Examining these differences can be a useful exercise in understanding where the “crowd” and professional oddsmakers diverge in their expectations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure drives the price up, indicating growing confidence in the outcome, while increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Minas vs. Sesi Bauru match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, as any delays or disputes could impact the timing of settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team strategies, or changes in coaching could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to increased trading activity and price movement. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves as the event draws closer.