TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming football game, offering various thresholds for both teams to exceed. Bettors can choose different point benchmarks to wager on, allowing for varied risk and reward scenarios based on expected game dynamics.
Each market specifies a point threshold that the New Orleans Saints or Minnesota Vikings must exceed in their game scheduled for October 11, 2026, for the market to resolve to 'Yes'. If the specified team does not score more than the stated threshold, the market resolves to 'No'. The markets cover a range of incremental point totals, providing multiple opportunities to bet on varying levels of offensive performance. All markets are independent, and the resolution depends solely on the final score of the game as recorded by the official league. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks often set initial odds to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely adjust prices based on their own analysis and information. If many traders believe a certain team total is likely, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will rise, potentially moving further from the initial sportsbook offering. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to game time. Examining these differences can highlight areas where the market may have an edge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing predictions about the Vikings-Saints team total. The price of a contract represents the probability of that specific team total occurring, scaled to a price between 0 and 100. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of those trading. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that efficiently reflects the true probability of the event outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final combined score of the Minnesota Vikings and the New Orleans Saints is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team total will be determined by the official game statistics released by the NFL. The market will settle to 100 for the correct team total and 0 for all other possibilities. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. This ensures a clear and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Vikings or the Saints would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to a high- or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. As the game approaches, even updates on player participation status (e.g., limited practice participation) can shift market sentiment and cause the price to fluctuate. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.