TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the Minnesota Vikings will win against the New Orleans Saints by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of the Vikings winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 87.0%. Resolution will be determined based on the final score of the MIN Vikings vs NOLA Saints Pro Football game, as defined by a win margin of more than 13.5 points, according to the resolution source. Keep a close watch on the game itself, scheduled for October 11, 2026, as the final result will determine the market’s outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on the final official score of the MIN Vikings vs NOLA Saints Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the winning team exceeds the specified point differential indicated in the market title. For instance, the 'MIN Vikings wins by over 16.5 points' market requires MIN to win by at least 17 points, while the 'NOLA Saints wins by over 1.5 points' market requires NOLA to win by at least 2 points. If the game is canceled, forfeited, or otherwise incomplete per official league rules, all markets are voided and resolve as 'No.' No alternative outcomes, such as tiebreakers or revised schedules, affect resolution unless explicitly stated in secondary disclosures. Trademark and affiliation disclaimers do not alter resolution criteria.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each venue. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the spread, as profitable trades are rewarded. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the game approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Vikings vs. Saints game, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine the winning contracts. All contracts associated with the correct spread will pay out, while those representing incorrect spreads will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market's resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Vikings or the Saints would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the passing or running game, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also affect trader sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations and drive price changes.