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OPEN INTEREST:
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408,027
Markets across
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either the Minnesota Vikings or the New Orleans Saints specifically within the second quarter of their scheduled game. Each market corresponds to different point differentials that must be achieved by the winning team during that quarter alone.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between the Minnesota Vikings and the New Orleans Saints exclusively during the second quarter of their game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team's margin of victory: markets for the Vikings winning by more than 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points, and markets for the Saints winning by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward resolving these markets. If the specified condition is met, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, and the outcome of one does not affect the others. The governing league's official scoring and game records will determine the resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. If significant differences exist, opportunities for arbitrage may emerge, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts in both markets. It’s important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the 2nd quarter of the Vikings-Saints game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range specified by the purchased contract. The market will close prior to the end of the game to prevent any last-minute manipulation or uncertainty, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Vikings or the Saints would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's style of play, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching decisions or team strategies could influence trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls and expert analyses, can also play a role, though this market represents independent, incentivized predictions.