TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses exclusively on the second half performance of the Minnesota Vikings versus New Orleans Saints football game. Each market evaluates different point differentials to determine outcomes based solely on scoring in the latter half of the match, including any overtime periods.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the designated football game between the Minnesota Vikings and New Orleans Saints. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team to exceed in points scored during this period. If the specified team meets or exceeds their respective point differential threshold in the second half, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored in the second half and overtime count toward these outcomes. The markets cover a range of thresholds for both teams, allowing for varied assessments of performance intensity in the latter stages of the game.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If there’s a significant discrepancy between the two, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. However, it's important to note that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups of people.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different second half spreads for the Vikings-Saints game. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the potential outcome. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if the actual spread falls within the specified range.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final second half spread of the Vikings versus the Saints game will be used to determine which contracts payout. Contracts predicting the correct spread will settle at 100, while those predicting an incorrect spread will settle at 0. The official result will be sourced from reliable sports data providers and will be used to determine the final settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Vikings or the Saints would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any significant line movements in traditional sportsbooks could influence traders on Kalshi, leading to adjustments in the price of contracts. Public sentiment and expert analysis can also play a role in shaping market expectations.