TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which team will lead at halftime in an upcoming NFL matchup between the Minnesota Vikings and the New Orleans Saints. It focuses solely on the first half performance, ignoring the final game result. The outcome depends entirely on which team scores more points before halftime.
If New Orleans wins the 1st Half of the MIN Vikings vs NOLA Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minnesota wins the 1st Half of the MIN Vikings vs NOLA Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Half of the MIN Vikings vs NOLA Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand among traders who believe they have an informational edge. If a significant number of people believe one team is more likely to win the first half, the price of that outcome will increase, potentially moving further away from the initial sportsbook line. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either the Vikings or the Saints winning the first half. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders enter the market with differing opinions, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely first half winner. The price represents how much it costs to hold one unit of that outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result will be determined by which team is leading at the end of the first half of the Vikings versus Saints game. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine the winning outcome and finalize the market. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts redeemed based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Vikings or the Saints would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift prices. Unexpected news about coaching decisions or team morale might also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Finally, even large betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks could influence traders on Kalshi to adjust their positions.