TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the first half of an upcoming football game between two teams. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that bettors can wager on, reflecting expectations about how high-scoring the game might be in the initial half.
These markets determine whether the combined score of the Minnesota Vikings and New Orleans Saints in the first half of their game scheduled for October 11, 2026, exceeds specified point thresholds. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. For any given market, if the total points scored by both teams during the first half surpass the stated threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All assessments are based solely on points scored in the first half of play, with no consideration for the second half or any post-game events. The markets are independent, allowing participants to speculate on various levels of scoring intensity, from low-scoring defensive battles to high-scoring offensive showcases.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of informed traders. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more quickly incorporate new information or differing viewpoints. You may find that this market offers a different probability assessment for the Vikings-Saints first half total compared to traditional betting outlets, potentially revealing where the “crowd” disagrees with bookmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the first half total will be over or under the specified number. As more people buy contracts for one side, the price of those contracts increases, reflecting a higher probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the game. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half total points scored in the Vikings-Saints game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics released by the NFL. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the outcome will receive a payout of $1.00 per contract, while those on the incorrect side will lose their investment. The final result will be clearly displayed on Kalshi once it is officially determined.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Vikings or the Saints would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also move the market. Late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions could also shift expectations. Finally, even large bets placed on Kalshi could temporarily influence the price, as traders react to the new information implied by those trades.