TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for the Minnesota Vikings versus the New Orleans Saints during the first half of their game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between the Minnesota Vikings and the New Orleans Saints exclusively during the first half of the game scheduled for October 11, 2026. For markets where the Vikings win, resolution occurs if their lead exceeds specified thresholds ranging from 1.5 to 13.5 points. Conversely, for markets where the Saints win, resolution occurs if their lead exceeds thresholds from 2.5 to 10.5 points. All assessments consider only points scored in the first half, with no regard to the final game outcome or second-half performance. The markets are independent, each evaluating a distinct point-spread requirement for either team's victory in the initial 30 minutes of play.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade contracts based on their own assessment of the game. This can lead to differences in probabilities, as the market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbook odds in terms of accuracy, though discrepancies can occur due to differing market participants and information access.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the first half of the Vikings-Saints game will be used to determine winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those on incorrect spreads will receive nothing. The market will close prior to the game's completion to prevent any influence from live scoring.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Vikings or the Saints would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift market sentiment. Public betting patterns and analysis from sports analysts, while not directly reflected in the market, can indirectly influence trader behavior and therefore the price of contracts. Overall game previews and expert predictions could also move this market.