TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 7:18 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-11 23:00 UTC: If the Milwaukee Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Milwaukee Bucks". If the Charlotte Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Charlotte Hornets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-11 23:00 UTC: If the Milwaukee Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Milwaukee Bucks". If the Charlotte Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Charlotte Hornets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd effect. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market reflects the collective predictions of many individuals. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than sportsbook lines, especially when there's significant volume. However, sportsbook odds can be useful for identifying potential value discrepancies, and comparing them to this market can inform your trading strategy. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market-making algorithm to ensure there's always a bid and ask price, facilitating trading even with relatively low volume. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Milwaukee Bucks versus Charlotte Hornets game, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a win for either team—is the correct one based on the final score. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 11, 2026. News regarding player injuries or changes to starting lineups for either the Bucks or the Hornets would likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected performance in preceding games, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in analyst predictions or media coverage, might also drive price movements. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely be reflected in the trading activity and, therefore, the market prices.