TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 12:30 AM EST
Predict
In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres, scheduled for October 6 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres, scheduled for October 6 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis and information. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from traditional sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the game date. It’s a fascinating comparison to see how collective intelligence stacks up.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions in real-time, offering a unique perspective on the potential result of the Brewers-Padres game.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Brewers-Padres game – which team wins – will be used to determine which shares pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Predict once the outcome is verified, and payouts will be processed accordingly. Keep an eye on the resolution timeline as the game approaches.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Brewers or the Padres would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Starting pitcher announcements are also crucial, as a highly-rated pitcher could increase the perceived chances of their team winning. Weather forecasts, particularly if there’s a chance of rain or wind, could also play a role. Finally, any significant changes in public sentiment, reflected in expert analysis or betting trends, could impact trading activity and move the market.