TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 1:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the Milwaukee Brewers or the San Diego Padres will win their upcoming MLB game on October 7th at 3:33AM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres outcome. Resolution will be determined by the official results reported on https://www.mlb.com/. Keep an eye on the game’s final score, as this market will resolve based on the outcome of the October 7th fixture, and will ultimately be settled by October 15, 2026, if no earlier resolution occurs.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres, scheduled for October 7 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the goal of balancing action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome, or when new information emerges that isn't yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. Comparing these odds can offer valuable insights into differing perspectives on the game.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective probability assigned to each possible result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe in a particular outcome, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated to reflect the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game between the Milwaukee Brewers and the San Diego Padres, as reported by a major sports news outlet. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result of the Brewers-Padres game.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Brewers or the Padres would likely have a significant impact. Changes in starting pitchers, weather forecasts affecting the game conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion based on pre-game analysis could all cause the market to move. Unexpected lineup changes or late-breaking news about team morale could also contribute to price fluctuations as traders adjust their positions.