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Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres?

Volume:
$25,349,707

San Diego

 - Kalshi

San Diego - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 1:05 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Diego

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,283,226
N/A
N/A
$5,708,288
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41,872
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,148
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

San Diego Padres O/U 3.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$422
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$182
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Milwaukee

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,327,973
N/A
N/A
$9,242,845
Settled
No
polymarket

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,352,907
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$243,236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,686
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,005
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,603
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,787
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

San Diego Padres O/U 5.5

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Milwaukee Brewers O/U 4.5

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.5

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 31

Intro

This market tracks the over/under for the first 5 innings of a Major League Baseball game between the Milwaukee Brewers and the San Diego Padres, aggregating data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Currently, the consensus probability favors “Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5” at 100.0%. Resolution will be based on data reported at https://www.mlb.com/scores. Keep an eye on October 6th, as this is the scheduled date for the game, and any postponement could extend the betting period until the game is completed according to the platforms’ rules.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Significant date mismatch between platforms renders the Kalshi market fundamentally unresolvable in the context of the stated event.Hero tip: Avoid the Kalshi market entirely. It appears to be referencing a future game in 2026, while Polymarket is referencing the current game. Trading the Kalshi market could lead to incorrect resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the October 6, 2024 game. If postponed, the market remains open until completion. If canceled, resolves 50-50. "This market will resolve to 'Milwaukee Brewers' if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the October 6, 2026 game. If either team wins, the market resolves to Yes. "If San Diego wins the Milwaukee vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026 at 9:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres, scheduled for October 6 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the Milwaukee vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for October 6, 2026, at 9:30 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and will close after the rescheduled game finishes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Brewers-Padres game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $25,349,707, with $23,920,836 traded in the last 24 hours. The current market sentiment, as reflected by the combined probabilities, suggests a strong expectation for one team to win. This dashboard provides a centralized location to monitor how predictions evolve as new information becomes available leading up to the game. It allows users to compare the probabilities offered on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Brewers-Padres game.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of many participants and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are often more readily available and may offer different types of wagers not found in this market. The difference in odds can also be influenced by differing levels of liquidity and market participants.